[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"$f1pp5yxrsj072x":3,"$ffeh0925h8cuz":41,"$f2emv3tus0uf1":45,"$fbwk2pqjjqsc7":49},{"item":4,"previous":29,"next":35},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"excerpt":9,"contentType":10,"featuredImage":11,"bannerImage":9,"body":12,"agentsBottomLine":13,"bodyImage":9,"isInfographic":14,"categories":15,"isVideo":14,"videoThumbnail":9,"videoSource":9,"publishedAt":28,"updatedAt":28},1650,"what-are-the-experts-saying-about-future-home-prices","What Are the Experts Saying About Future Home Prices?","A worldwide pandemic and an economic recession have had a tremendous effect on the nation. The uncertainty brought about by both has made predicting consumer behavior nearly impossible. For that reason, forecasting home prices has become extremely difficult.\r\n\r\n","","blog","https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.simplifyingthemarket.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2020\u002F06\u002F22124609\u002F20200623-KCM-Share.jpg","A worldwide pandemic and an economic recession have had a tremendous effect on the nation. The uncertainty brought about by both has made predicting consumer behavior nearly impossible. For that reason, forecasting home prices has become extremely difficult.\r\n\r\n\u003C!--more-->\r\n\r\nNormally, there’s a simple formula to determine the future price of any item: calculate the supply of that item in ratio to the demand for that item. In housing right now, demand far exceeds supply. Mortgage applications to buy a home just rose to the \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Feconomics.cmail20.com\u002Ft\u002FViewEmail\u002Fd\u002F2C4CBEA02A5524AE2540EF23F30FEDED\u002F5323CD85A2087AFD22947492D9797BBC\">highest level in 11 years\u003C\u002Fa> while inventory of homes for sale is at (or near) an all-time low. That would usually indicate strong appreciation for home values as we move throughout the year.\r\n\r\nSome experts, however, are not convinced the current rush of purchasers is sustainable. Ralph McLaughlin, \u003Cem>Chief Economist\u003C\u002Fem> at \u003Cem>Haus\u003C\u002Fem>, explained in their \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fhaus.com\u002Fresources\u002Fjune-2020-hausing-market-forecast\">June 2020 Hausing Market Forecast\u003C\u002Fa> why there is concern:\r\n\u003Cblockquote>\u003Cem>“The upswing that we’ll see this summer is a result of pent-up demand from homebuyers and supply-in-progress from homebuilders that has simply been pushed off a few months. However, after this pent-up demand goes away, the true economic scarring due to the pandemic will begin to affect the housing market as the tide of pent-up demand goes out.”\u003C\u002Fem>\u003C\u002Fblockquote>\r\nThe virus and other challenges currently impacting the industry have created a wide range of thoughts regarding the future of home prices. Here’s a list of analysts and their projections, from the lowest depreciation to the highest appreciation:\r\n\u003Cul>\r\n \t\u003Cli>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.corelogic.com\u002Finsights-download\u002Fhomeowner-equity-report.aspx\">CoreLogic\u003C\u002Fa>: Year-Over-Year decline of -1.5%\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n \t\u003Cli>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fhaus.com\u002Fresources\u002Fjune-2020-hausing-market-forecast\">Haus\u003C\u002Fa>: Year-Over-Year decline of -1%\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n \t\u003Cli>\u003Ca href=\"http:\u002F\u002Fzillow.mediaroom.com\u002F2020-06-18-U-S-Home-Value-Growth-Slows-Prices-May-Fall-in-Second-Half-of-2020\">Zillow\u003C\u002Fa>: Year-Over-Year change is forecasted to bottom out at -0.7%.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n \t\u003Cli>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fpulsenomics.com\u002Fsurveys\u002F#home-price-expectations\">Home Price Expectation Survey\u003C\u002Fa>: Decline of -0.3% in 2020\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n \t\u003Cli>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.fanniemae.com\u002Fresources\u002Ffile\u002Fresearch\u002Femma\u002Fpdf\u002FHousing_Forecast_061520.pdf\">Fannie Mae\u003C\u002Fa>: Increase of 0.4% in 2020\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n \t\u003Cli>\u003Ca href=\"http:\u002F\u002Fwww.freddiemac.com\u002Ffmac-resources\u002Fresearch\u002Fpdf\u002F202006-Forecast.pdf\">Freddie Mac\u003C\u002Fa>: Increase of 2.3% in 2020\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n \t\u003Cli>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.zelmanassociates.com\u002F\">Zelman & Associates\u003C\u002Fa>: Increase of 3.0% in 2020\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n \t\u003Cli>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.nar.realtor\u002Fsites\u002Fdefault\u002Ffiles\u002Fdocuments\u002Fforecast-Q2-2020-us-economic-outlook-05-28-2020.pdf\">National Association of Realtors\u003C\u002Fa>: Increase of 3.8% in 2020\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n \t\u003Cli>\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fwww.mba.org\u002Fnews-research-and-resources\u002Fresearch-and-economics\u002Fforecasts-and-commentary\u002Fmortgage-finance-forecast-archives\">Mortgage Bankers Association\u003C\u002Fa>: Increase of 4.0% in 2020\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\u003C\u002Ful>\r\nWe can garner two important points from this list:\r\n\u003Col>\r\n \t\u003Cli>There is no real consensus among the experts.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n \t\u003Cli>No one projects prices to crash like they did in 2008.\u003C\u002Fli>\r\n\u003C\u002Fol>\r\n\u003Ch3>\u003Cstrong>Bottom Line\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh3>\r\nWhether you’re thinking of buying a home or selling your house, know that home prices will not change dramatically this year, even with all of the uncertainty we’ve faced in 2020.","\r\nWhether you’re thinking of buying a home or selling your house, know that home prices will not change dramatically this year, even with all of the uncertainty we’ve faced in 2020.",false,[16,20,24],{"id":17,"name":18,"slug":19},5,"For Buyers","buyers",{"id":21,"name":22,"slug":23},6,"For Sellers","sellers",{"id":25,"name":26,"slug":27},9,"Home Prices","home-prices","2020-06-23T10:00:26Z",{"id":30,"slug":31,"title":32,"featuredImage":33,"publishedAt":34,"contentType":10,"isVideo":14},1649,"homebuyers-are-in-the-mood-to-buy-today","Homebuyers Are in the Mood to Buy Today","https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.simplifyingthemarket.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2020\u002F06\u002F19111012\u002F20200622-KCM-Share.jpg","2020-06-22T10:00:55Z",{"id":36,"slug":37,"title":38,"featuredImage":39,"publishedAt":40,"contentType":10,"isVideo":14},1651,"should-we-be-looking-at-unemployment-numbers-differently","Should We Be Looking at Unemployment Numbers 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