[{"data":1,"prerenderedAt":-1},["ShallowReactive",2],{"$f3a76as4avoj9z":3,"$ffeh0925h8cuz":46,"$f2emv3tus0uf1":50,"$fbwk2pqjjqsc7":54},{"item":4,"previous":34,"next":40},{"id":5,"slug":6,"title":7,"description":8,"excerpt":9,"contentType":10,"featuredImage":11,"bannerImage":9,"body":12,"agentsBottomLine":13,"bodyImage":14,"isInfographic":15,"categories":16,"isVideo":15,"videoThumbnail":9,"videoSource":9,"publishedAt":33,"updatedAt":33},1433,"what-is-the-probability-that-home-values-sink","What Is the Probability That Home Values Sink?","With the current uncertainty about the economy triggered by a potential trade war, some people are waiting to purchase their first home or move-up to their dream house because they think or hope home prices will drop over the next few years. However, the experts disagree with this perspective.","","blog","https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.simplifyingthemarket.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2019\u002F09\u002F09171707\u002F20190912-Share-KCM.jpg","With the current uncertainty about the economy triggered by a potential trade war, some people are waiting to purchase their first home or move-up to their dream house because they think or hope home prices will drop over the next few years. However, the experts disagree with this perspective.\u003C!--more-->\r\n\r\nHere is a table showing the predicted levels of appreciation from six major housing sources:\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.keepingcurrentmatters.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2019\u002F09\u002F20190912-MEM-1.jpg\">\u003Cimg class=\"aligncenter wp-image-40725\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.keepingcurrentmatters.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2019\u002F09\u002F20190912-MEM-1.jpg\" alt=\"What Is the Probability That Home Values Sink? | Simplifying The Market\" width=\"650\" height=\"488\" \u002F>\u003C\u002Fa>As we can see, every source believes home prices will continue to appreciate (albeit at lower levels than we have seen over the last several years). But, not one source is calling for residential real estate values to depreciate.\r\n\r\nAdditionally, \u003Cem>ARCH Mortgage Insurance Company\u003C\u002Fem> in their current \u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Fmi.archcapgroup.com\u002FPortals\u002F1\u002FDocuments\u002Fhammr\u002FHaMMR_Summer2019.pdf\">Housing and Mortgage Market Review\u003C\u002Fa> revealed their latest \u003Cem>ARCH Risk Index,\u003C\u002Fem> which estimates the probability of home prices being lower in two years. There was not one state that even had a moderate probability of home prices lowering. In fact, 34 of the 50 states had a minimal probability.\u003Ca href=\"https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.keepingcurrentmatters.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2019\u002F09\u002F20190912-MEM-2.jpg\">\u003Cimg class=\"aligncenter wp-image-40726\" src=\"https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.keepingcurrentmatters.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2019\u002F09\u002F20190912-MEM-2.jpg\" alt=\"What Is the Probability That Home Values Sink? | Simplifying The Market\" width=\"650\" height=\"488\" \u002F>\u003C\u002Fa>\r\n\u003Ch3>\u003Cstrong>Bottom Line\u003C\u002Fstrong>\u003C\u002Fh3>\r\nThose waiting for prices to fall before purchasing a home should realize that the probability of that happening anytime soon is very low. With mortgage rates already at near historic lows, now may be the time to act.","\r\nThose waiting for prices to fall before purchasing a home should realize that the probability of that happening anytime soon is very low. With mortgage rates already at near historic lows, now may be the time to act.","https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.keepingcurrentmatters.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2019\u002F09\u002F20190912-MEM-1.jpg",false,[17,21,25,29],{"id":18,"name":19,"slug":20},5,"For Buyers","buyers",{"id":22,"name":23,"slug":24},6,"For Sellers","sellers",{"id":26,"name":27,"slug":28},11,"First-Time Buyers","first-time-buyers",{"id":30,"name":31,"slug":32},38,"Move-Up","move-up","2019-09-12T10:00:45Z",{"id":35,"slug":36,"title":37,"featuredImage":38,"publishedAt":39,"contentType":10,"isVideo":15},1432,"millennial-buying-power-poised-to-boost-homeownership","Millennial Buying Power Poised to Boost Homeownership","https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.simplifyingthemarket.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2019\u002F09\u002F09161702\u002F20190911-Share-KCM.jpg","2019-09-11T10:00:27Z",{"id":41,"slug":42,"title":43,"featuredImage":44,"publishedAt":45,"contentType":10,"isVideo":15},1434,"6-graphs-showing-the-strength-of-the-current-housing-market-infographic","6 Graphs Showing the Strength of the Current Housing Market [INFOGRAPHIC]","https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.simplifyingthemarket.com\u002Fwp-content\u002Fuploads\u002F2019\u002F09\u002F12142547\u002F20190913-Share-KCM.jpg","2019-09-13T10:00:09Z",{"cover":47,"open":48,"shareSpread":49},"https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.keepingcurrentmatters.com\u002FKeepingCurrentMatters\u002Fcontent\u002Fimages\u002F20260603\u002F2026-Summer-Buyers-Guide-Cover-original.png","https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.keepingcurrentmatters.com\u002FKeepingCurrentMatters\u002Fcontent\u002Fimages\u002F20260603\u002F2026-Summer-Buyers-Guide-Spread-original.png","https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.keepingcurrentmatters.com\u002FKeepingCurrentMatters\u002Fcontent\u002Fimages\u002F20260603\u002F2026-Summer-Buyers-Guide-Magazine-original.png",{"cover":51,"open":52,"shareSpread":53},"https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.keepingcurrentmatters.com\u002FKeepingCurrentMatters\u002Fcontent\u002Fimages\u002F20260603\u002F2026-Summer-Sellers-Guide-Cover-original.png","https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.keepingcurrentmatters.com\u002FKeepingCurrentMatters\u002Fcontent\u002Fimages\u002F20260603\u002F2026-Summer-Sellers-Guide-Spread-original.png","https:\u002F\u002Ffiles.keepingcurrentmatters.com\u002FKeepingCurrentMatters\u002Fcontent\u002Fimages\u002F20260603\u002F2026-Summer-Sellers-Guide-Magazine-original.png",[55,59,60,61,65,69,73,74,78,82,83,87,91,95,99,103,107,111,115,119,123,127,131,135,139,143,147,151,155,159],{"id":56,"name":57,"slug":58},1,"Uncategorized","uncategorized",{"id":18,"name":19,"slug":20},{"id":22,"name":23,"slug":24},{"id":62,"name":63,"slug":64},7,"Foreclosures","foreclosures",{"id":66,"name":67,"slug":68},8,"Infographics","infographics",{"id":70,"name":71,"slug":72},9,"Home Prices","home-prices",{"id":26,"name":27,"slug":28},{"id":75,"name":76,"slug":77},34,"Senior Market","senior-market",{"id":79,"name":80,"slug":81},35,"Mortgage Rates","mortgage-rates",{"id":30,"name":31,"slug":32},{"id":84,"name":85,"slug":86},41,"For Sale by Owner","for-sale-by-owner",{"id":88,"name":89,"slug":90},42,"Featured","featured",{"id":92,"name":93,"slug":94},45,"New Construction","new-construction",{"id":96,"name":97,"slug":98},52,"Luxury \u002F Vacation","luxury--vacation",{"id":100,"name":101,"slug":102},53,"Rent vs. Buy","rent-vs-buy",{"id":104,"name":105,"slug":106},80,"Time-sensitive","time-sensitive",{"id":108,"name":109,"slug":110},81,"Outdated","outdated",{"id":112,"name":113,"slug":114},147,"Internal","internal",{"id":116,"name":117,"slug":118},148,"Do Not Autopost","do-not-autopost",{"id":120,"name":121,"slug":122},320,"Inventory","inventory",{"id":124,"name":125,"slug":126},321,"Agent Value","agent-value",{"id":128,"name":129,"slug":130},322,"Affordability","affordability",{"id":132,"name":133,"slug":134},323,"Buying Tips","buying-tips",{"id":136,"name":137,"slug":138},324,"Downsize","downsize",{"id":140,"name":141,"slug":142},325,"Economy","economy",{"id":144,"name":145,"slug":146},326,"Equity","equity",{"id":148,"name":149,"slug":150},327,"Forecasts","forecasts",{"id":152,"name":153,"slug":154},328,"Selling Tips","selling-tips",{"id":156,"name":157,"slug":158},339,"Expired\u002FWithdrawn\u002FCanceled","expiredwithdrawncanceled",{"id":160,"name":161,"slug":162},340,"Price It Right\u002FOverpricing","price-it-rightoverpricing"]